Please note: the following information is a short compilation from the most important German-speaking Trade Media.
Short Overview – German-speaking Markets
The COVID-19 quarantine measures are being further untightened in all German states. All federal states are responsible for their own implementation. They have also released the strict regulations towards (however always observing the sanitary and distancing recommendations):
- In the afternoon of October 28th the federal states are going to discuss new regulations as a result of the high numbers of infections in Germany.
- After the COVID-19 numbers are increasing in the last weeks some new measures and rules have been implemented
- All federal states are forced to implement their own measures and rules in compliance with the overall limit of 50 infections per 100,000 inhabitants on 7 days
- increasing use of rapid tests
- travel to risk areas and countries should be avoided
· Opening of cinemas, theatres, opera houses
· Permission of events (depending on state for up to 500 people) with social distancing rules
· Permission of contact sports inside as well as outside
· Opening of indoor playgrounds, houses in zoological gardens, escape rooms
· Schools have opened with regular classes after the summer holidays however some states already introduced the compulsory use of masks
Current relevant topics within the tourism industry
- International tourism has decreased by 70%. Travel restrictions introduced in response to the COVID 19 pandemic continue to hit global tourism hard, with the latest World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) data showing a 70% decline in international arrivals for the first eight months of 2020. (Traveller online)
- DER travel agencies offer PCR tests: DER travel agencies offer PCR tests DER Touristik is starting a pilot phase for a new service in three of its own travel agencies. In the DER travel agencies in the Lindencenter in Berlin, the Munich Pep shopping center and the Breuningerland shopping center in Sindelfingen, customers can buy a PCR test in the form of a throat self-test before departure. A single test costs 129 euros, a double test 199 euros. Travel agencies receive a commission for each sale. Customers can either take the test with them directly from the travel agency or order it from the travel agency and have it sent home. (TRVL Counter)
- Passenger numbers in long-distance traffic are falling again. Ever more humans do without journeys with the course in view of rising Corona numbers. According to a report, the capacity utilization in long-distance traffic is only 30 percent. (Frankfurter Allgemeine)
- No solid evidence for tourism as a corona driver. Country up, country down stigmatized Federal and regional politicians the tourism as Buhmann with the Corona propagation, without supplying for it loadable numbers criticized BTW president Michael Frenzel on the European tourism forum. Meanwhile, the Federal Government Commissioner for Tourism promised further assistance until the end of next year. (Counter vor9)
- EU states agree on Corona traffic light for journeys. The traffic light map will go online in the next few days and will be updated weekly by the European health agency ECDC. The basis for the classification into red, yellow and green should be the number of newly reported cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the last 14 days, plus the rate of positive tests and the number of tests performed. (Reise vor9)
- Travel portals could be losers of the Corona crisis. Last year, online travel agencies generated worldwide sales of 753 billion dollars. With Corona the case followed. Soon only large, capital market-oriented groups could remain in the travel Internet business. One of the core arguments is that the need for advice is increasing because of the unstable environment. The seemingly unstoppable migration of market shares from travel agencies to online sales has “thus been stopped for the time being”. (Counter vor9)
- TUI introduces cancellable flex rates for vacation hotels. Cancellation still on the day of arrival – with this promise Booking & Co. have grown up. TUI is now following suit and expanding the range of rates that can be cancelled at short notice to around 6,000 hotels in Germany, Austria, Italy and Switzerland. So far the Flex rates were only valid for selected city hotels. (Reise vor9)
- DER Touristik adapts commission system to Corona lull. Basic commission as at the beginning of this year, fewer sales levels, faster to ten percent with a starter bonus and Aldiana incentive – this is how DER Touristik is adapting its commission system to the Corona pandemic. Head of Sales Kevin Keogh calls the remuneration model fair and transparent and is thus seeking to close ranks with sales. (Reise vor9)
Current relevant topics within the aviation industry
- Lufthansa expects only slow recovery until summer. In year two of the Corona crisis, Lufthansa can at best rebuild its flight offerings in small steps. “Perhaps a recovery to 50 percent of the pre-crisis level would be possible next year – perhaps even to 60 percent with business travel by autumn 2021,” said Lufthansa Executive Board member Harry Hohmeister in an interview published on Tuesday with the news agency Reuters. “But that is pure speculation. It is not possible to make reliable statements on this today,” he emphasized. His scenario is based on the assumption that the pandemic is better controlled and that travel is possible if the corona test is negative. But even with a vaccine, it will still be a long time before air traffic returns to “some kind of normality”. The state-funded airline recently had to reduce its winter capacity due to the rising numbers of Covid infections in Europe and the USA. The offer will be reduced to a maximum of 25 percent of the previous year’s volume instead of the 50 percent previously hoped for. At present, a good 350 of the Group’s 760 own passenger aircraft are in service. “We currently fly about 25 to 30 percent of the frequencies – and only about every second seat is occupied,” said the manager responsible for the business of the network airlines Lufthansa, Swiss, Brussels and Austrian Airlines. (wiwo)
- Cathay Pacific stamps daughter Dragon. Dragonair, founded in 1985 and taken over by Cathay four years ago, is discontinued. The carrier mainly flew from Hong Kong to China. But Cathay Dragon is only a Corona victim. The Hong Kong carrier’s cost-cutting measures result in the loss of 8,500 jobs, a quarter of the workforce. (BBC)
- Danger of infection in the plane less than in the conference room? 60 percent of passengers considered the cabin air in airplanes to be dangerous, admitted David Powell, health expert of the aviation association IATA at an online press conference with the aircraft manufacturers Airbus, Boeing and Embraer. There are only 44 proven cases of corona infections during a flight worldwide. (Reise vor9)
Current relevant studys
- Majority of Germans expect short-term lockdowns, study by Yougov (TRVL Counter)
- Almost two-thirds of German citizens expect that stores, restaurants and schools will be closed again due to the sharp rise in corona infections. This is shown by a Yougov survey for the news agency DPA in the run-up to the federal-state consultations. Only 23 percent do not believe in short-term lockdowns, 13 percent did not provide any information.
- Post-Corona time requires long breath, by Statista (FVW)
- the perspective: According to Statista, global travel sales like those of 2019 can only be expected in 2023. However: If the growth rates from the years before 2019 are applied to the development of the following years, it will take until 2025 before the recovery is complete. The same applies to the number of travelers.
- Further forecasts relate to the development of individual destinations. According to Kautz, the trend will be that destinations that are currently experiencing a sharp drop in travel revenues will achieve the highest growth rates during the upturn. In the top position, Statista mentions Mexico with average annual growth rates of 41 percent until 2023, followed by India (37 percent) and the United Arab Emirates (30 percent). According to these figures, Germany would achieve 18 percent, the USA 13 percent.
- By segment, the cruise, package tour, hotel and vacation home sectors can expect annual sales increases of between 3.3 and 3.6 percent up to 2025.
- A special role will take the luxury tourism, so Kautz. The Chinese market in this sector will grow by 12 percent per year until 2023, and seven percent is estimated for the entire travel market. In the USA, growth rates are expected to be 1.7 to 1.1 percent, while 2.6 and 0.8 percent are forecast for Germany
- Post-Corona time requires long breath, by Statista (FVW)